The sun will begin to emerge from hibernation very soon.
The frequency of solar flares and the likelihood of dangerous coronal emission will be highest in 2024, in the middle of the next cycle of activity lights, reports the Chronicle.info with reference to changeua.com.
Solar activity, as shown by observations over the past four centuries, changing in a cyclic manner with a period of approximately 11 years, during which the number of sunspots on the surface of the disc gradually decreases and increases.
As the scientists explain, until recently, the Sun was in the phase of so-called “Grand solar maximum”, in which the activity of light was slightly higher than a multiyear average. However, the current 24-th cycle, which began in January 2008, was a record weak. At one time, astronomers feared that the Orb falls into “hibernation” forever, but the resumption of its activity in 2015 partially dispelled these suspicions.
Ideas like these have forced astronomers to think about how long these cycles exist and can they be changed in principle. Nandi and fellow Prentice Bhowmik (Bhowmik Prantika) found that this does not happen, creating a new computer model of the Sun to predict his level of activity at the current number of spots on its surface, their properties and General configuration of the magnetic fields of the star. Check her work at ten past cycles, scientists figured out how to behave shone in 2019-2030. As shown by these calculations, the Sun will begin to emerge from hibernation in approximately 2020, when they will finish the current cycle.
The minimum level of activity in 2019 will be slightly higher than in the beginning of the decade that will bring the Orb to the levels characteristic of the 1960s and 1970s. The maximum number of spots on the surface of the Sun will occur in the years 2024-2025. Their number will be relatively modest, but still it will be noticeably higher than during the 24-cycle. As noted astrophysicists, it can be compared with how one behaved was shining in the years 1920-1930, during the beginning of the “Grand solar maximum”.
All this, said Nandi says that the Land is unlikely to come new ice age and that global warming will slow down. On the contrary, these calculations show that the increase in activity lights for the next 10 years may increase the temperature of the Earth and accelerate climate change.